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DRIVING THE DAY
THE FINAL HURDLES — Could prescription drug pricing reform make it into the reconciliation bill after all? Senate and House Democrats and the White House came close to reaching a deal on the issue Sunday, report Burgess Everett, Alice Miranda Ollstein and Heather Caygle. The plan in the works would allow some Medicare negotiations with pharmaceutical companies — but if it comes together, it would still be much narrower than many Democrats initially intended.
— As a result, House votes on the two big bills will likely get pushed past Tuesday. But the party’s getting closer, per CNN’s Manu Raju: “Progressives meanwhile signaled on a private call this afternoon they are expected to be on board behind both bills.”
— The House Rules Committee is delaying a planned meeting today to give negotiations more time, per Bloomberg’s Jennifer Epstein and Justin Sink.
AND THE FINAL SPRINT — Greetings from Loudoun County, Va., where we spent Sunday evening jogging along with an Allbirds-clad TERRY MCAULIFFE as he campaigned in Leesburg’s annual Halloween parade.
A parade route is to the Macker what snow is to a polar bear: his natural environment.
McAuliffe spent so much time taking selfies and filling kids’ bags with candy that at least a football field of space opened up between his team and the floats in front of them.
Lots of corny jokes were told. “Let’s get my wife jealous!” he said before snapping a picture with his arm around someone’s grandmother.
“Ahhhhhh!” he fake recoiled every time he encountered someone in a scary costume.
He was adept at identifying anti-McAuliffe voters. “Who is this redhead’s mom?” he asked about a wee tike to whom he gave a fistful of candy. When the child’s mother was identified, it activated his GLENN YOUNGKIN-supporter radar. She looked away and McAuliffe jogged on by. Asked by a reporter if she was not a big McAuliffe fan, the woman buried her face in her hands and shook her head. She was a member of NoVa’s hottest swing vote: parents for Youngkin.
Around the time McAuliffe reached the end of the King Street parade route, Youngkin, whose supporters had a minimal presence in the parade, responded by tweeting, “Scary Terry has more tricks up his sleeve,” adding that if elected McAuliffe would mean repealing Virginia’s “right to work” law, “crippling the economy, shrinking workers’ paychecks, & killing jobs.” (McAuliffe has given a fuzzy answer on right to work, saying he’d sign a repeal but that it would never get through the state legislature.)
Things took a darker turn after the candy-dispensing festivities were over.
As we walked with a McAuliffe staffer to the candidate’s bus, parked in a nearby parking lot, a panicked young aide approached. “We need a police officer!” she said.
When we arrived, McAuliffe was inside the bus doing an interview. His brother JOE was milling about outside with campaign staffers and a couple of reporters. The cops were eyeing a middle-aged white guy in camo pants who had been screaming, apparently unintelligibly, about Loudoun County schools. (He may have been intoxicated.) Maybe it was nothing. But to get a sense of how on edge everyone is in American politics a few days before the most important election of 2021, there was concerned talk about whether he might be armed.
Staffers generously offered a pair of reporters the chance to flee into a campaign vehicle if something unusual happened.
In the end it was nothing. The heckler got in his F-150 pickup truck, and two police officers worked to calm him down. McAuliffe’s bus departed without incident. But we have rarely been out on the trail when there was such a heightened sense of alarm about the possibility of an interaction between a campaign and an opponent’s supporter escalating to something more sinister.
McAuliffe and Youngkin have similar schedules today: Both will be in Roanoke in the morning and Richmond in the afternoon (Youngkin will also make a stop in Virginia Beach). Tonight, McAuliffe will be in Fairfax County, while Youngkin will finish up here in Loudoun County, a place that’s become shorthand for the unusual mix of issues and buzzwords — parental control of education, the rights of trans Virginians, critical race theory — that have defined this race.
“No one knows,” said one of McAuliffe’s advisers when asked for a prediction about Tuesday. “It’s a toss-up.”
We’ll be with both candidates today and will report back.
The final polls: FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker has Youngkin surging into a slight lead, now up by an average of 0.6 points.
Two more reads:
- Zach Montellaro and Brittany Gibson’s dispatch from the trail Sunday.
- Elena Schneider and Maya King report that “more than a dozen top Democrats involved in the Virginia campaign — from strategists on the ground to House Majority Whip JAMES CLYBURN (D-S.C.) — expressed concern that Black support for McAuliffe is weaker and less enthusiastic” than it should be.
Good Monday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza, Tara Palmeri.
PULITZER BAIT — A massive three-part WaPo investigation into the Jan. 6 insurrection is worth a chunk of your time today. The report documents previously undisclosed warnings of political violence that law enforcement failed to heed; DONALD TRUMP’s inaction during the putsch; and the lingering effects of conspiratorial distrust of voting around the country that have put democracy at risk. More than 25 reporters and 75 journalists in total worked on the project.
BIDEN’S MONDAY: The president departed Rome for Edinburgh at 3:45 a.m. Eastern time.
— 6:30 a.m.: Biden will arrive in Edinburgh, Scotland.
— 7:30 a.m.: Biden will greet British PM BORIS JOHNSON and U.N. Secretary-General ANTÓNIO GUTERRES in Glasgow, Scotland.
— 8 a.m.: Biden will attend the COP26 Opening Session.
— 9 a.m.: Biden will deliver the COP26 Leader Statement.
— 10:30 a.m.: Biden will attend an event on action and solidarity.
— Noon: Biden will have a bilateral meeting with Indonesian President JOKO WIDODO.
— 2:45 p.m.: Biden will attend a reception hosted by Johnson.
Deputy press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE and national security adviser JAKE SULLIVAN are gaggling aboard Air Force One on the way to Edinburgh.
The White House Covid-19 response team and public health officials will brief at 11 a.m.
VP KAMALA HARRIS’ MONDAY:
— 11:40 a.m.: The VP will depart D.C. en route to New York City.
— 1:05 p.m.: Harris and Energy Secretary JENNIFER GRANHOLM will tour John F. Kennedy International Airport and deliver remarks on climate action at 1:30 p.m.
— 7:30 p.m.: Harris will deliver remarks at National Action Network’s 30th Anniversary Triumph Awards at Carnegie Hall.
— 9:05 p.m.: Harris will depart New York to return to D.C.
THE SENATE will meet at 3 p.m. to take up ALAN DAVIDSON’s nomination as assistant Commerce secretary for comms and information. It will vote at 5:30 p.m. on BETH ROBINSON’s and TOBY HEYTENS’ judicial nominations.
THE HOUSE will meet at noon, with votes postponed until 6:30 p.m.
BIDEN’S WEEK AHEAD:
— Tuesday: Biden will participate in the climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, hold a press conference and leave Edinburgh to return to D.C.
— Wednesday: Biden will arrive back in D.C.
— Friday: Biden will deliver remarks on the October jobs report, and he and first lady JILL BIDEN will attend COLIN POWELL’s funeral at Washington National Cathedral.
PLAYBOOK READS
(IR)RECONCILABLE DIFFERENCES
THE LONG VIEW — Paid family leave looks likely to be jettisoned from the Build Back Better bill. But the surge of attention and activism on the issue could open the door for bipartisan negotiations on the issue in the future, as some business groups and Republicans tell NYT’s Jonathan Weisman that there might be a path forward for stand-alone legislation. Still, any compromise bill would be less generous and take longer to implement than the plan Sen. KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND (D-N.Y.) has championed.
— In West Virginia, activists and some voters are smarting over Sen. JOE MANCHIN’s move to torpedo the paid leave proposal, reports AP’s Jay Reeves from Charleston.
THE WHITE HOUSE
AIR FORCE ONE HUNDRED — Veteran White House reporter and Washington record-keeper MARK KNOLLER tells us that Biden’s flight from Rome to Glasgow today marks his hundredth Air Force One trip in office. (He’s also made 152 Marine One voyages.) That compares to 101 for DONALD TRUMP and 124 for BARACK OBAMA at this point in their presidencies.
ALL POLITICS
SITTING BACK AND RELAXING — The House GOP is watching from the minority as Democrats toil to muscle through their agenda, and they’re relishing the chaos, reports Olivia Beavers. The conference is confident about regaining the majority next year, and they’re avoiding tough questions about their own party. “While Democratic infighting blots out the sun in Washington, Republicans don’t mind the shade,” she writes. Even the small group of moderates trying to build support for the bipartisan infrastructure bill aren’t finding many takers.
DEMS’ TURNOUT PROBLEM — New data from the California recall election shows that 18- to 29-year-olds made up 12% of the electorate, down from 17% in November 2020, NBCLX’s Noah Pransky reports. The numbers “suggest Democrats may be suffering due to young progressives’ frustrations over the glacial pace of progress in fulfilling Biden campaign promises on social programs, climate change and civil rights.”
THE NEW GOP — Sen. MARCO RUBIO (R-Fla.) will strike a populist note at the National Conservatism Conference tonight, telling his party to take the side of working people against big business, Axios’ Alayna Treene and Sarah Mucha report. The title of his speech: “We Need Corporate Patriotism to Defeat American Marxism.”
JUDICIARY SQUARE
TODAY’S BIG CASE — Two challenges to Texas’ near-total abortion ban go before the Supreme Court today as the justices hear arguments starting at 10 a.m. NYT’s Adam Liptak writes that all eyes are on Justice BRETT KAVANAUGH, who legal experts say is likeliest to be the swing justice open to reversing course from the court’s decision on the matter two months ago. Hearing the challenges in such a quick manner may indicate that one of the five justices who upheld the ban is amenable to changing, and Kavanaugh shares Chief Justice JOHN ROBERTS’ cautious instincts about the court’s image and institutional reputation.
POLICY CORNER
FED UP — Some economists worry that Fed Chair JEROME POWELL is pushing too hard on the jobs market, which could worsen inflation in a late-’60s redux, reports Bloomberg’s Rich Miller. But as the central bank looks likely to pull back this week on its huge bond-purchase scheme, Powell “faces a conundrum when it comes to the labor market.”
FASCINATING READ — A new Census Bureau method, “differential privacy,” intentionally introduces errors into its data to help protect people’s confidentiality, AP’s Mike Schneider reports. The idea is to prevent anyone from matching census information to other public data to identify participants. “But some city officials and demographers think it veers too far from reality,” and some outside analysts worry it could lead to undercounts of racially mixed areas, with potential implications for redistricting and federal funding. (The Census Bureau disagrees.)
THE PANDEMIC
WHAT PANDEMIC? — Covid-19 is fading as a political issue on the campaign trail, as voters rate it as less of a priority, strategists shift their focus and pandemic-related advertising drops off, reports David Siders. Even as more than 1,000 Americans continue to die each day, the fatigue could be good news for the GOP: “Democrats may lose one of their most compelling campaign planks,” he writes. In a recent Virginia poll, only 23% of voters listed the pandemic as one of their top two issues.
VACCINATION SETBACK — Moderna said Sunday that the FDA’s review of its application to vaccinate adolescents against Covid-19 will be delayed, possibly until January, as the government looks into reports of the rare heart side effect myocarditis. More from NPR … The announcement
AMERICA AND THE WORLD
HINDSIGHT IS G-20/20 — Ryan Heath has a withering dispatch from the conclusion of the G-20 summit in Rome, where he writes that world leaders’ accomplishments on a corporate minimum tax and other issues paled in comparison to their failure to land major action on climate change and the pandemic. The lack of any big new climate commitment from China overshadowed the summit, he writes, and royal figures ended up upstaging the elected leaders with more vigorous calls to action: “[I]t was unelected figures who set the agenda, leaving the United States and other democratic leaders in the political dust.”
— ON THE OTHER HAND: Biden took a victory lap at the summit’s conclusion, trumpeting that “the weekend had shown the power of American engagement on the world stage, and that it had renewed relationships that frayed under his predecessor, Donald J. Trump,” write NYT’s Jim Tankersley and Katie Rogers in Rome. At his news conference, the president broadcast optimism about his political fortunes at home and got choked up talking about his relationship with Pope FRANCIS.
NEXT UP — Biden’s credibility on climate hangs in the balance in Glasgow, writes NBC’s Josh Lederman.
PLAYBOOKERS
SPOTTED ON HALLOWEEN: A pack of kids ringing the doorbell of Jeff Bezos’ massive Kalorama house — only to be told by a man on an intercom that they were “not participating in Halloween.” Some of the kids walked away muttering that they were going to TP his home with Amazon toilet paper, a source who was with the group, which included children and adults, told Daniel Lippman. Bezos spent this weekend in Glasgow for the climate conference, where he met with the Prince of Wales. Pic of the house later that night
SPOTTED: Special guest judge Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) at the Politics & Puns Halloween party Saturday night hosted by Adam Green in Columbia Heights.
Jen Psaki tested positive for the coronavirus, along with several of her family members. It’s a breakthrough case, and she said her symptoms are mild.
Kal Penn, in a new book publishing Tuesday, comes out and reveals he’s engaged to a man named Josh whom he met in D.C.
Four Seasons Total Landscaping dressed up as Four Seasons Hotel for Halloween.
Kirsten Gillibrand dressed up as Cruella de Vil from “101 Dalmatians.” Her dog Maple was a dragon.
Two women at Mar-a-Lago dressed up as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez with a twist on her “Tax the Rich” dress — one white dress said “Be the Rich” and the other said “Marry the Rich.”
Larry Summers wrote something that the White House actually liked.
Barclays CEO Jes Staley stepped down over Jeffrey Epstein ties.
TRANSITIONS — Jack Beyrer is now deputy press secretary for Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.). He most recently was a news writer at the Washington Free Beacon. … Skiffington Holderness is now a director of government relations at Delta Air Lines. He’s previously been a longtime aide to Sen. Jim Risch (R-Idaho), most recently on the staff of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. … Jake Wilkins is now an account director at Rokk Solutions. He most recently was comms director for Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.) and is a USDA and RNC alum. …
… Dawn-Marie Sullivan is now a legislative assistant for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas). She most recently was a legislative assistant for Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-Mont.), and is an Andy Biggs alum. … Kathleen Gayle is now a legislative assistant for Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.). She most recently was legislative director/comms director for Rep. John Rose (R-Tenn.). … Gayle Fishel is rejoining Ogilvy Public Relations as EVP of corporate and brand reputation. She most recently was VP of marketing and comms at the United Service Organizations.
ENGAGED — Alex Wirth, co-founder and CEO of public affairs software firm Quorum, proposed to Tracy Nelson, an incoming associate at Sullivan & Cromwell, at sunset Tuesday in the Sahara Desert. The couple initially met in D.C. the summer of 2015 and then reconnected on Hinge the summer of 2019. Pic
BIRTHWEEK (was Saturday): Londyn Marshall of Carbon180 and Cat Duffy of The Hub Project
HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) and Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.) (6-0) … Senate Chaplain Barry Black … Apple CEO Tim Cook … Charles Koch … David Bossie of Citizens United … former Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke … Katie Walsh Shields ... Vanessa Morrone Ambrosini … WaPo’s Carlos Lozada … POLITICO’s Anthony Hatch, Jason Shervinski and Megan Wilson … John Oxtoby of Ariel Investments … Michael Byerly … Jess Andrews of Sen. John Kennedy’s (R-La.) office … Business Roundtable’s Liz Dougherty … Suzanne Zurn of the National Security Innovation Network (5-0) … Alpine Group’s Grace Bellone … Clare Steinberg … Tyler Hernandez … Chloe Taylor of Hawk Partners … Bill Deere of the UNRWA … Leslie Pollner … John Stipicevic … CNN’s Marshall Cohen … Alex Byers … former Reps. Bruce Poliquin (R-Maine) and John Spratt (D-S.C.) … John Seeley … Liz Bowman … Francesco Guerrera … Anthony Fragale … Cami Bissen … American Conservation Coalition’s Lucero Cantu … Erin Hearn of J Strategies
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